India’s corporate and income tax revenue is likely to fall for the first time in at least two decades, more than half a dozen senior tax officials told Reuters, amid rapid declines in economic growth and lower corporate taxes rate.
The government of Prime Minister Narendra Modi targeted for a direct tax collection of 13.5 trillion rupees ($189 billion) for the year ending March 31-a 17 percent rise over the previous fiscal year.
A sharp decline in demand, however, has forced companies to slash investment and jobs, dent tax collections, and prompted the government to forecast 5 percent growth for this fiscal year – the slowest in 11 years.
A senior tax officer said that the tax department was able to collect only 7.3 trillion rupees as at January 23, more than 5.5% below last year’s level.
In the final three months, authorities usually raise about 30 to 35% of annual Direct Taxes from businesses during advance for the first three quarters, according to estimates from the last three years.
Yet eight senior tax officials interviewed by Reuters said this fiscal year was likely to fall below the 11.5 trillion collected in 2018-19, despite their best efforts to steer tax collections.
“Forget about the target. That’s the first time we’re ever going to see the drop in direct tax collections,” a tax officer in New Delhi said.
He predicts that direct tax receipts will end up around 10 percent below fiscal 2019 for this year.
The government’s annual revenue projections usually account for around 80% of direct taxes, and the deficit will leave the government with the need to raise borrowing to meet its expenditure commitments.
Tax officials also say that another major reason behind the lenient tax collections is a surprise reduction in the top corporate income tax rate last year aimed at wooling the fabricators and raising investment in Asia’s third-largest economy.
“We will be very pleased if we can even breakeven with what we raised last year,” said another senior tax official in the financial capital Mumbai, the largest tax driver, which accounts for about a third of direct tax revenues.
Latest Updates
- New Income Tax Rules: What’s Changing from April 1, 2025New Income Tax Rules: What’s Changing from April 1, 2025 The Finance Act 2024 introduces significant amendments to the income tax framework, set to take effect from April 1, 2025. These updates aim to enhance compliance, provide relief to taxpayers, and promote entrepreneurship. Below are the key highlights: 1. Enhanced Startup […]
- How Minors are Taxed? Understanding the Income Tax ActHow Minors are Taxed? Understanding the Income Tax Act Understanding the Taxation of a Minor’s Income Under Section 64(1A) of the Income Tax Act, 1961, the income earned by a minor child is generally clubbed with the income of the parent whose total income is higher. However, there are exceptions to this […]
- New TDS Rules Under Section 194T: Impact on Partnerships and LLPsNew TDS Rules Under Section 194T: Impact on Partnerships and LLPs Introduction to Section 194T The Finance (No. 2) Bill, 2024, introduces Section 194T of the Income Tax Act, effective April 1, 2025. This new provision mandates that Partnership Firms and LLPs deduct TDS on specific payments made to their partners, including remuneration, […]
- Mastering Year-End Financial Closure: A Comprehensive Business ChecklistMastering Year-End Financial Closure: A Comprehensive Business Checklist As the financial year-end approaches, businesses must focus on financial accuracy, regulatory compliance, and strategic planning. A well-structured year-end review not only prevents penalties but also enhances financial stability and prepares companies for a seamless transition into the next fiscal year. 1. Essential […]
- Financial Deadlines You Must Meet Before March 31, 2025Financial Deadlines You Must Meet Before March 31, 2025 As the financial year draws to a close on March 31, 2025, taxpayers have limited time to optimize their tax-saving strategies and ensure compliance with critical financial deadlines. Here’s a detailed guide to key financial tasks that must be completed before the […]